行政管理系:
时间:2021年10月13日(周三)13:00
地点:中山北路校区理科大楼A302室
报告形式:线下
报告人、报告题目及报告概要:
孟溦:数字赋能视角下科技治理体系结构变迁与能力提升
摘要:随着数字技术与治理的不断融合,科技治理主体边界发生变迁,信息系统面临重构,需求结构也日益扩张。数字赋能加剧了科技创新多主体间结构互嵌,扩展了信息系统的流动通道,有助于以“用户”为基础的需求结构层次重构。数字赋能在驱动科技治理形成新的治理结构同时,也增强了治理活动的决策与感知能力,使科技治理进一步迈向精准化、主动化的科技治理体系
郝宇青:人工智能进入基层社会治理的限度
摘要;人工智能进入基层社会治理,既推动着基层社会治理的创新,也产生了一些难以避免的负面作用,成为人工智能进入基层社会治理的局限。概括来看,人工智能进入基层社会治理的限度主要体现在:从人工智能进入基层社会治理的直观体验来看,它可能会产生隐私伦理和算法伦理两种类型的伦理问题;从人工智能在基层社会治理的运用及其过程来看,它可能会造成部分社会群体的数字鸿沟风险、强化基层社会治理主体之间的信息壁垒而难以协同的风险、造成行政方式刚性化的风险;从人工智能运用的结果来看,它可能会导致干群关系的疏离,并可能会造成公民文化负向发展的风险。如何消解人工智能技术进入基层社会治理的负面影响,就成为推进基层社会治理创新、推进基层社会治理现代化的重要环节。
聂磊: 数据要素市场化背景下的隐私计算应用研究
摘要:数据作为特殊的资源和生产要素,已上升到国家战略高度。但与此同时,数据共享面临着巨大的安全合规挑战。本报告将分析传统解决方案的逻辑和局限,提出保障数据安全的技术路径即隐私计算。隐私计算技术是解决数据共享交换过程中数据隐私保护问题、数据价值保护问题、数据确权问题以及数据管控问题的关键。数据隐私与安全问题的解决需要动态的组合拳,法律的、制度的、伦理的以及行业自律的隐私保护,仍是不可或缺的数据隐私治理手段。
翁士洪:虚拟社区意识、使用行为与移动政务平台持续使用
摘要:移动政务是政府面向公众提供公共服务的新模式,如何使移动政务平台被公众接受并持续使用是政府在数字时代应关注的一个重点。采用虚拟社区意识理论(SOVC)以及技术采纳与利用整合模型(UTAUT2),利用一项上海市问卷调查,运用结构方程模型探究了虚拟社区意识在移动政务平台使用行为与持续使用中的作用机理。研究结果表明,虚拟社区意识与移动政务平台使用行为之间的直接联系是显著的,虚拟社区意识与移动政务平台持续使用意愿之间呈正相关,而移动政务平台的使用行为与持续使用意愿没有显著相关性。基于研究结果与现有的理论基础,探讨了对我国移动政务建设的启示与对未来研究的展望。
张家平:数字时代下的收入不平等感知研究
摘要:在数字经济迅猛发展的大背景下,探索互联网普及对收入分配的影响成为学术界近年来的一个重要议题。已有文献大多考察了互联网普及对客观收入不平等的影响,缺乏从微观视角考察网络使用对个体收入不平等感知影响的足够关注。本研究从信息传播和心理学视角总结了互联网使用对个体收入不平等感知影响的理论框架,并进一步采用中国家庭追踪调查数据进行了实证检验。研究证实互联网使用对个体收入不平等感知具有显著的正向影响,即与非网民相比,网民认为中国社会存在的贫富分化程度更高。此外,本研究基于社会心理学的负面偏见理论和社会比较理论就这一影响机制进行了检验,结果表明:互联网使用对低受教育水平人群的收入不平等感知影响更强;当互联网对个人信息获取越重要时,互联网使用对个体收入不平等感知的正向影响越明显;互联网使用对个体收入不平等感知的正向影响存在“网络效应”。本研究为理解数字时代公众收入不平等感知状况提供了一定的理论分析视角,对新时期下中国实现共同富裕、人民幸福感提升、做好网络舆情监控以及社会风险管理等方面提供了一定的实践参考。
赵继娣:Disease Burden Attributable to the First Wave of COVID-19 in China and the Effect of Timing on the Cost-Effectiveness of Movement Restriction Policies
摘要:Objectives Movement restriction policies (MRPs) are effective in preventing/delaying COVID-19 transition but are associated with high societal cost. This study aims to estimate the health burden of the first wave of COVID-19 in China, and the cost-effectiveness of early versus late implementation of MRPs so to inform preparation for future waves.
Methods The SEIR (susceptible, exposed, infectious and recovered) modelling framework was adapted to simulate the health and cost outcomes of initiating MRPs at different times: rapid implementation (23rd January, the real-world scenario), delayed by one week, delayed by two weeks and delayed by four weeks. The end point was set as the day when newly confirmed cases reached zero. Two costing perspectives were adopted: healthcare and societal. Input data were obtained from official statistics and published literature. The primary outcomes were disability adjusted life-years (DALY), cost and net monetary benefit. Costs were reported in both Chinese currency Renminbi (RMB) and US Dollar value in 2019 (USD).
Results The first wave of COVID-19 in China resulted in 38,348 DALYs lost (95% CI [19,417, 64,130]) and 2,639 billion RMB losses (95% CI [1,347, 4,688]). The rapid implementation strategy dominated all other delayed strategies. This conclusion was robust to all scenarios tested. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of 70,892 RMB (the national annual GDP per capita) per DALY saved, the probability for the rapid implementation to be the optimal strategy was 96.28%.
Conclusions Early implementation of MRPs in response to COVID-19 reduced both the health burden and societal cost and thus should be used for future waves of COVID-19.
周俊:Informal Personal Resources and Governments’ Relational Mobilization of Nonprofit Organizations in China
摘要:Existing research on why the government still implements relational mobilization in the process of institutional transformation has mainly been carried out from two perspectives: social environment and institutional arrangement. However, it lacks investigation into individual behaviors. This study introduces the concept of informal personal resources and puts forward the theory that government officials tend to provide informal personal resources in mobilizing nonprofit organizations under the joint influences of voluntary, stressful, and environmental factors of policy implementation. Government officials’ willingness to provide informal personal resources are a precondition for the formation of relational mobilization, and it acts based on the limitations of institutionalized mobilization and the social atmosphere caused by a relation-based society. The mechanism of relational mobilization is “human relationships,” including emotional care, “debt of gratitude,” and reciprocity. Under the general trend of institutionalization of government-nonprofit relations, this paper suggests a new idea that attaching great importance to informal personal resources is of positive significance for the government to mobilize nonprofit organizations effectively and construct multidimensional government-nonprofit relations.